Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.288286 0.342135 0.407060 0.492298 0.603075 7.448112e-01 0.944356
2024-12-15 0.207774 0.270401 0.356378 0.487660 0.692150 1.016267e+00 1.611875
2024-12-22 0.161254 0.223267 0.316416 0.475425 0.761466 1.307911e+00 2.614249
2024-12-29 0.137230 0.199757 0.300941 0.491260 0.882478 1.784668e+00 4.702476
2025-01-05 0.116024 0.174863 0.275231 0.477991 0.940288 2.188943e+00 7.589315
2025-01-12 0.103126 0.160470 0.263228 0.485629 1.048728 2.855243e+00 14.136312
2025-01-19 0.091582 0.146053 0.247485 0.479511 1.120918 3.524096e+00 25.758147
2025-01-26 0.084156 0.137590 0.241084 0.492011 1.255744 4.692996e+00 61.201914
2025-02-02 0.078692 0.131771 0.238594 0.513122 1.437141 6.563205e+00 213.413582
2025-02-09 0.073503 0.125626 0.234058 0.527490 1.611611 9.051490e+00 1314.297663
2025-02-16 0.069256 0.120683 0.231118 0.545501 1.823201 1.297562e+01 219562.079831
2025-02-23 0.065074 0.115278 0.226060 0.555744 2.017413 1.830401e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 0.061086 0.109880 0.220334 0.563295 2.221166 2.645809e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 0.057070 0.103958 0.212375 0.561327 2.381173 3.715666e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.053004 0.097475 0.201971 0.547735 2.462891 4.883327e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.050767 0.094752 0.200747 0.567279 2.809680 8.804338e+01 NaN
2025-03-30 0.047396 0.089127 0.190988 0.551349 2.876465 1.199254e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.045270 0.086113 0.187806 0.560635 3.181833 2.282007e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.042785 0.082025 0.181062 0.553244 3.335851 3.840266e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041225 0.079944 0.179639 0.568387 3.764663 1.122526e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040066 0.078691 0.180391 0.594011 4.403231 8.459779e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.038751 0.076929 0.179380 0.611490 5.021990 1.411845e+06 NaN
2025-05-11 0.037622 0.075510 0.179188 0.633446 5.823619 NaN NaN